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The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

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Key Metrics

  • Allan J Lichtman
  • Lexington Books
  • Paperback
  • 9780739112656
  • 8.97 X 6.32 X 0.6 inches
  • 0.73 pounds
  • Political Science > Political Process - Campaigns & Elections
  • English
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Book Description

With The Keys to the White House, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860-including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection-Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.
The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President

Author Bio

Allan J. Lichtman received his PhD from Harvard University in 1973 with a specialty in modern American history and quantitative methods. He became an Assistant Professor of History at American University in 1973 and a Full Professor in 1980, and a Distinguished Professor in 2011. 

He was the recipient of the Scholar/Teacher of the year award for 1992-93. He has published eleven books and several hundred popular and scholarly articles. 

He has lectured in the US and internationally and provided commentary for major US and foreign networks and leading newspapers and magazines across the world. He has been an expert witness in some 100 civil and voting rights cases. His book, White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement was a finalist for the National Book Critics Circle Award in nonfiction. He co-authored book with Richard Breitman, FDR and the Jews, won the National Jewish Book Award Prize in American Jewish History and was a finalist for the Los Angeles Times book prize in history. 

His book, The Case for Impeachment was a national independent bookstore bestseller. Lichtman's prediction system, the Keys to the White House, has correctly predicted the outcomes of all US presidential elections since 1984. He was listed rise.global as # 85 among 100 most influential geopolitical experts in the world and received the lifetime achievement award from Who's Who.

 

Education 

  • BA, Brandeis University, Phi Beta Kappa, Magna Cum Laude, 1967
    PhD, Harvard University, Graduate Prize Fellow, 1973

 

Source: American University, Washington, D.C. 

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